Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.068287e-03 0.001216 0.001365 0.001526 0.001696 0.001868 0.002055
2025-06-08 8.384117e-04 0.001048 0.001269 0.001514 0.001779 0.002054 0.002359
2025-06-15 7.093740e-04 0.000970 0.001252 0.001575 0.001930 0.002305 0.002727
2025-06-22 5.485360e-04 0.000838 0.001163 0.001547 0.001978 0.002440 0.002967
2025-06-29 4.400349e-04 0.000753 0.001119 0.001560 0.002065 0.002613 0.003245
2025-07-06 3.979059e-04 0.000742 0.001156 0.001664 0.002251 0.002894 0.003640
2025-07-13 3.006093e-04 0.000649 0.001087 0.001639 0.002287 0.003005 0.003845
2025-07-20 2.064028e-04 0.000545 0.000997 0.001581 0.002280 0.003063 0.003987
2025-07-27 1.662226e-04 0.000512 0.000991 0.001622 0.002386 0.003247 0.004268
2025-08-03 1.150083e-04 0.000451 0.000944 0.001609 0.002424 0.003352 0.004459
2025-08-10 5.678123e-05 0.000359 0.000845 0.001526 0.002376 0.003354 0.004530
2025-08-17 2.646945e-05 0.000303 0.000793 0.001497 0.002389 0.003425 0.004677
2025-08-24 8.602716e-07 0.000221 0.000702 0.001433 0.002380 0.003495 0.004853
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000168 0.000650 0.001416 0.002430 0.003636 0.005116
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000147 0.000650 0.001472 0.002572 0.003887 0.005508
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000101 0.000593 0.001443 0.002604 0.004008 0.005748
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000075 0.000565 0.001454 0.002687 0.004188 0.006057
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000074 0.000597 0.001554 0.002884 0.004507 0.006530
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000549 0.001529 0.002918 0.004626 0.006766
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000018 0.000484 0.001473 0.002906 0.004687 0.006931
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000011 0.000480 0.001512 0.003021 0.004904 0.007281
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000002 0.000446 0.001499 0.003064 0.005029 0.007522
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000375 0.001419 0.003011 0.005035 0.007617